Punjab could be in for one of its chilliest starts to winter in recent memory, with weather models and global climate signals pointing toward an unusually cold October and November this year. The forecast has raised both curiosity and concern, as residents brace for what might be an early winter chill settling over the state.
According to meteorologists, the likely development of 'La Niña' conditions by the end of 2025 could be a key driver. Known for its cooling effect across parts of northern India, La Niña may amplify cold winds from the west and trigger sharper dips in temperature. Experts caution that while October traditionally sees warm days and cool evenings, the coming weeks could bring more pronounced swings, with nights turning colder than average.
Weather records show that in a normal year, October highs remain around 32–34°C with lows in the low-20s. By November, the daytime maximum usually falls closer to 25–28°C, while nights can slip into the low teens. But this year, early indicators suggest temperatures may slide further, especially in rural belts and foothill regions where morning frost is not uncommon by late November.
The lingering impact of a heavy monsoon season is another factor. High soil moisture and waterlogging in several districts could accelerate cooling after sunset, making mornings feel harsher. “It’s not just about how low the thermometer goes, but also how damp and biting the cold feels,” said a Chandigarh-based meteorologist.
The expected dip has implications for agriculture and daily life. Wheat and mustard farmers are keeping a close watch, as early cold spells can stress young crops. Health experts have also advised families to prepare ahead, particularly for infants, the elderly, and those with respiratory conditions. Authorities are likely to step up advisories in the coming weeks, especially if fog and frost conditions develop earlier than usual.
Though there is no confirmation yet of record-breaking lows, the trend points toward a colder-than-normal start to winter. For Punjab’s residents, that means this October and November could feel more like mid-winter than a gradual seasonal shift.
