India is getting hammered by COVID and family after family is being decimated by the pandemic virus.
The sight of helpless family members at hospital gates, the fight to secure dwindling oxygen supplies, and overflowing crematoriums leave no shadow of doubt
Bloomberg has prepared reports which claim that IIT Kanpur’s Professor Manindra Agrawal developed model has been used by IIT Hyderabad’s Professor Mathukumalli Vidyasagar which results in prediction that COVID peak is coming in the next few days.
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This forecast implies that the national daily COVID case count will be expected to get lower than 20,000.
It is pertinent to note that similar exhaustive studies had claimed the mid of last month to the peak.
The reports claim that this happened because the original data being fed to the models does not represent the reality of India – the testing has not increased and further, the number of deaths due to COVID is being underreported.
Thus, Bloomberg points out that not much faith can be placed on the forecast for mid of May being the peak of COVID cases.
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Looking at the trends now, we expect the following five points to pan out:
1. The coming weeks will be unbearably tough for the nation, claims team of Indian Institute of Science, Bengaluru.
2. 4 lakh individuals are expected to die by June 11, claims the team.
3. The current accelerated rate of transmission is due to new variant of the virus.
4. Double dose of vaccine is also failing – Dr Anuradha Mittal of Kailash Hospital told Bhaskar that in her social circle over 50 doctors contracted COVID in spite of receiving two dose of the vaccines.
5. Strain like those in India are spreading to other parts of the world, and this indicates that all over the world the second wave of COVID can extend longer.