India is getting hammered by COVID and family after familyis being decimated by the pandemic virus.
The sight of helpless family members at hospital gates, thefight to secure dwindling oxygen supplies, and overflowing crematoriums leaveno shadow of doubt
Bloomberg has prepared reports which claim that IIT Kanpur’sProfessor Manindra Agrawal developed model has been used by IIT Hyderabad’sProfessor Mathukumalli Vidyasagar which results in prediction that COVID peakis coming in the next few days.
This forecast implies that the national daily COVID casecount will be expected to get lower than 20,000.
It is pertinent to note that similar exhaustive studies hadclaimed the mid of last month to the peak.
The reports claim that this happened because the originaldata being fed to the models does not represent the reality of India – the testinghas not increased and further, the number of deaths due to COVID is beingunderreported.
Thus, Bloomberg points out that not much faith can be placedon the forecast for mid of May being the peak of COVID cases.
Looking at the trends now, we expect the following fivepoints to pan out:
1. The coming weeks will be unbearably tough forthe nation, claims team of Indian Institute of Science, Bengaluru.
2. 4 lakh individuals are expected to die by June11, claims the team.
3. The current accelerated rate of transmission isdue to new variant of the virus.
4. Double dose of vaccine is also failing – Dr AnuradhaMittal of Kailash Hospital told Bhaskar that in her social circle over 50 doctorscontracted COVID in spite of receiving two dose of the vaccines.
5. Strain like those in India are spreading toother parts of the world, and this indicates that all over the world the secondwave of COVID can extend longer.