The last and winner-deciding phase of voting in West Bengal hasended and has opened the speculations in Exit Poll Results. Trinamool Congress(TMC) supremo and West Bengal Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee is likely toretain her reign while the DMK led by MK Stalin has lucid chances to take overTamil Nadu with a big majority this time.
As per the CVoter Exit Poll for Times Now/ABP News, the NDA iswinning Puducherry, barely retaining Assam, and losing Tamil Nadu. The exit pollstated that the Mamata Banerjee-led Trinamool is likely to retain West Bengal,while the Pinarayi Vijayan-led LDF is set to return to power for the secondtime in a row in Kerala.
The survey stated that in West Bengal, the incumbent TrinamoolCongress is likely to retain power for the third consecutive term amid a robust challenge from the BJP.
The survey suggests that the Left, which had ruled the state formore than three decades is likely to be reduced to a marginal player, despiteforming a pre-poll alliance with the country's grand old party - the Congress.
Also, the entry of a Muslim front - comprising the All IndiaMajlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen (AIMIM) and the influential cleric AbbasSiddiqui's new party Indian Secular Front - into the electoral fray will failto spell trouble for the Trinamool Congress.
Translated into seats, the survey data project Trinamool toemerge victorious on 152 to 164 seats in the state, which has a total of 294Assembly constituencies, with 148 being the majority mark.
The survey data clearly indicate that BJP has emerged as a keyplayer on the political landscape of the state as the saffron party is likelyto register a victory on 109 to 121 seats. The Left-Congress combine is projectedto grab 14 to 25 seats.
In the 2016 Assembly elections, the Trinamool had won 211 seats,the BJP had secured 3 seats while the Left-Congress combine had cornered 76seats.
The survey stated that Assam would see a photo-finish for boththe BJP and the Congress, as the UPA is poised to close the gap with the NDA.
As per the survey, the ruling NDA would win the state polls butit would be a tough fight as the UPA will follow closely on its heels.
The exit poll stated that the NDA has a slight edge with 65seats in the 126-member Assembly, one more than the majority mark of 64, whilethe UPA would win 59 seats. The projected seats for NDA are between 58 and 71,while for the UPA, they are between 53 and 66.
As per the exit poll, the Congress-led 10-party ‘Mahajot' willget 48.8 percent votes, while the NDA will get 42.9 percent votes and others8.3 percent votes.
In 126-member Assembly, Independents and others will be the keyplayers with the BJP having the edge being the ruling party in the state.
In Kerala, it's a straight-forward electoral battle between theincumbent Pinarayi Vijayan-led Left Democratic Front (LDF) and the Congress-ledUnited Democratic Front (UDF).
According to the exit poll, the ruling LDF is expected to retainpower in the southern state, thus bucking the trend of the incumbent tastingdefeat in every second electoral cycle.
The exit poll data for Tamil Nadu show that the first Assemblyelections held after the death of political stalwarts of J. Jayalalithaa and M.Karunanidhi will witness the return of the M.K. Stalin-led DMK-Congress alliance topower with a clear majority.
Voting for the 234-seat Tamil Nadu Assembly was held on April 6in a single phase.
The survey data show that a combination of 10-yearanti-incumbency factor and the absence of a charismatic successor toJayalalithaa is expected to lead to an electoral setback for the rulingAIADMK-led coalition.
Translated into seats, the survey shows that the DMK-ledalliance is projected to secure 160 to 172 seats in the state having a total of234 Assembly constituencies. The incumbent AIADMK-led alliance is expected tobe restricted to 58 to 70 seats in the state.
The exit poll data show that the NDA will win the UnionTerritory of Puducherry with two-third majority. The NDA is projected to win 21out of the 30 Assembly seats in the UT, which went to the polls on April 6.
The exit poll projected 19 to23 seats for the NDA comprising AINRC, BJP, and AIADMK. The UPA, which includesthe Congress and the DMK, will win 8 seats with a projected range of 8-10seats.